Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Moore vs Tysen Herken

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamIronworks Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin MooreNow 1475
If they win+24→ 1499
If they lose-24→ 1451
Tysen HerkenNow 1476
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.30
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
1.24
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
64%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.28
Submission avg.
TBD

Combat Edge model read

Tysen Herken66%
Dustin Moore 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tysen Herken a 66% favorite over Dustin Moore in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1475 vs 1476), separated by just 1 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.