Dustin Neace vs Jacob Pais
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-21-1Record1-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Damage IncorporatedTeamKAMICUOZZI MMA & FITNESS
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1520
If they lose-12→ 1496
If they win+24→ 1527
If they lose-24→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin NeaceJacob Pais
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacob Pais63%
Dustin Neace 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Pais a 63% favorite over Dustin Neace in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Neace's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1503), separated by just 5 points.
Dustin Neace finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.