Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Ortiz vs Igor Severino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record10-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
65,0"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1698 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin OrtizNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675
Igor SeverinoNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
7.17
45%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
56%
Strike defense
48%
3.01
Takedown avg.
9.69
36%
Takedown accuracy
71%
53%
Takedown defense
50%
0.09
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dustin OrtizIgor Severino
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
5 (25%)
Submission
4 (40%)
7 (35%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Igor Severino70%
Dustin Ortiz 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Igor Severino a 70% favorite over Dustin Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Ortiz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1686), separated by just 1 points.

Igor Severino enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dustin Ortiz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Igor Severino 90%.

Igor Severino carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.