Dustin Ortiz vs Joseph Benavidez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record28-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
65,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Joseph Benavidez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dustin Ortiz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1702
If they lose-9→ 1678
If they win+9→ 1792
If they lose-15→ 1768
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin OrtizJoseph Benavidez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Benavidez59%
Dustin Ortiz 41%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Benavidez a 59% favorite over Dustin Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Joseph Benavidez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1783 to 1687, a 96-point edge.
Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dustin Ortiz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Benavidez 61%.
Dustin Ortiz and Joseph Benavidez share 3 common opponents: Ali Bagautinov, Zach Makovsky and Jussier Formiga.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.