Dustin Ortiz vs Jussier Formiga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record24-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jussier Formiga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dustin Ortiz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1700
If they lose-11→ 1676
If they win+11→ 1737
If they lose-13→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dustin OrtizJussier Formiga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Ortiz54%
Jussier Formiga 46%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Ortiz a 54% favorite over Jussier Formiga in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jussier Formiga's way (44%).
Jussier Formiga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1687, a 39-point edge.
Dustin Ortiz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Jussier Formiga 46%.
Dustin Ortiz and Jussier Formiga share 2 common opponents: Joseph Benavidez and Brandon Moreno.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.