Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Ortiz vs Keito Yamakita

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record12-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'1"
65,0"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamReversal Gym Shinjuku Me, We· 1636 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin OrtizNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675
Keito YamakitaNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
3.01
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
53%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.09
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dustin OrtizKeito Yamakita
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
5 (25%)
Submission
4 (33%)
7 (35%)
Decision
7 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

Keito Yamakita72%
Dustin Ortiz 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keito Yamakita a 72% favorite over Dustin Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1688), separated by just 1 points.

Keito Yamakita enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Dustin Ortiz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Keito Yamakita 42%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.