Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Ortiz vs Ray Borg

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ray Borg
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Ray Borg

“The Tazmexican Devil”

16-5-0BantamweightEFC

1739Good

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record16-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'4"
65,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamJackson's MMA Acoma

What's at stake

Ray Borg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Dustin Ortiz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dustin OrtizNow 1687
If they win+14→ 1701
If they lose-10→ 1677
Ray BorgNow 1739
If they win+14→ 1753
If they lose-18→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
1.52
45%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.93
56%
Strike defense
48%
3.01
Takedown avg.
3.89
36%
Takedown accuracy
50%
53%
Takedown defense
47%
0.09
Submission avg.
1.04

Trajectory

Dustin OrtizRay Borg
17001750202020212022

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
5 (25%)
Submission
6 (38%)
7 (35%)
Decision
9 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Ray Borg78%
Dustin Ortiz 22%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Ray Borg a 78% favorite over Dustin Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Ray Borg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1687, a 52-point edge.

Ray Borg enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dustin Ortiz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Ray Borg 44%.

Dustin Ortiz and Ray Borg share 1 common opponent: Jussier Formiga.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2016
Jussier Formiga
Win Decision · 2017