Dustin Ortiz vs Steve Erceg
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record14-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'8"
65,0"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamWilkes Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin OrtizSteve Erceg
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Erceg66%
Dustin Ortiz 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Erceg a 66% favorite over Dustin Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Ortiz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1687), separated by just 0 points.
Dustin Ortiz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Steve Erceg 57%.
Dustin Ortiz and Steve Erceg share 2 common opponents: Alexandre Pantoja and Brandon Moreno.
Steve Erceg carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.