Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Ortiz vs Willie Gates

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record12-13-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
65,0"Reach39,0"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamPinnacle MMA

What's at stake

Dustin Ortiz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Willie Gates carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dustin OrtizNow 1687
If they win+5→ 1692
If they lose-19→ 1668
Willie GatesNow 1466
If they win+19→ 1485
If they lose-5→ 1461

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
45%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.28
56%
Strike defense
39%
3.01
Takedown avg.
0
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
53%
Takedown defense
68%
0.09
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Dustin OrtizWillie Gates
1500160017002020202120222023

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
5 (25%)
Submission
4 (33%)
7 (35%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Ortiz84%
Willie Gates 16%Elo baseline: 78%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Ortiz a 84% favorite over Willie Gates in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).

Dustin Ortiz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1466, a 221-point edge.

Willie Gates enters on a 9-fight loss streak.

Dustin Ortiz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Willie Gates 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.