Dustin Ortiz vs Zach Makovsky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record21-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
65,0"Reach64,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Dustin Ortiz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Zach Makovsky carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1696
If they lose-15→ 1672
If they win+15→ 1600
If they lose-9→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin OrtizZach Makovsky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Ortiz83%
Zach Makovsky 17%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Ortiz a 83% favorite over Zach Makovsky in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Dustin Ortiz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1585, a 102-point edge.
Zach Makovsky enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dustin Ortiz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Zach Makovsky 38%.
Dustin Ortiz and Zach Makovsky share 1 common opponent: Joseph Benavidez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.