Dustin Pague vs Elez Guri
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-11-0Record1-1-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
152 lbsWeight135 lbs
Disciple MMATeamArs Martis
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1521
If they lose-16→ 1489
If they win+24→ 1532
If they lose-24→ 1484
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dustin PagueElez Guri
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Pague53%
Elez Guri 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Pague a 53% favorite over Elez Guri in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elez Guri's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1505 vs 1508), separated by just 3 points.
Dustin Pague finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.