Dustin Pague vs John Albert
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-11-0Record6-5-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
152 lbsWeight135 lbs
Disciple MMATeamVictory Athletics
What's at stake
Dustin Pague is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — John Albert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1519
If they lose-18→ 1487
If they win+26→ 1497
If they lose-22→ 1449
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dustin PagueJohn Albert
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Pague58%
John Albert 42%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Pague a 58% favorite over John Albert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Dustin Pague holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1505 to 1471, a 34-point edge.
John Albert enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dustin Pague finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, John Albert 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.