Dustin Pague vs Teruto Ishihara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-11-0Record14-14-3
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach69"
152 lbsWeight135 lbs
Disciple MMATeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1522
If they lose-16→ 1490
If they win+12→ 1520
If they lose-12→ 1496
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin PagueTeruto Ishihara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Teruto Ishihara61%
Dustin Pague 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Teruto Ishihara a 61% favorite over Dustin Pague in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1506 vs 1508), separated by just 2 points.
Teruto Ishihara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dustin Pague finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Teruto Ishihara 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.