Dustin Pague vs Waris Shekibullah
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-11-0Record1-1-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
152 lbsWeight135 lbs
Disciple MMATeamFree Fight Academy· 1536 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1521
If they lose-16→ 1489
If they win+24→ 1527
If they lose-24→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dustin PagueWaris Shekibullah
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Pague61%
Waris Shekibullah 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Pague a 61% favorite over Waris Shekibullah in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1505 vs 1503), separated by just 2 points.
Dustin Pague finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.