Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Pague vs Yves Jabouin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dustin Pague
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Dustin Pague

“The Disciple”

12-11-0LightweightWCC

1506Average

Tale of the tape

12-11-0Record20-11-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
152 lbsWeight135 lbs
Disciple MMATeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin PagueNow 1506
If they win+16→ 1522
If they lose-16→ 1490
Yves JabouinNow 1516
If they win+16→ 1532
If they lose-16→ 1500

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.06
54%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
41%
Strike defense
63%
1.03
Takedown avg.
1.94
44%
Takedown accuracy
60%
56%
Takedown defense
82%
2.57
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Dustin PagueYves Jabouin
15001550201320142015

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
9 (75%)
Submission
1 (5%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Yves Jabouin54%
Dustin Pague 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Yves Jabouin a 54% favorite over Dustin Pague in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1506 vs 1516), separated by just 10 points.

Yves Jabouin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dustin Pague finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yves Jabouin 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.