Dustin Poirier vs Jason Young
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-10-0Record9-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72″ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Dustin Poirier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Jason Young carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+4→ 1816
If they lose-20→ 1792
If they win+26→ 1566
If they lose-6→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1814 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin PoirierJason Young
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Poirier84%
Jason Young 16%Elo baseline: 83%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Poirier a 84% favorite over Jason Young in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (83%).
Dustin Poirier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1540, a 272-point edge.
Dustin Poirier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dustin Poirier finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jason Young 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.