Dustin Poirier vs Josh Grispi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-10-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72″ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSouth Shore Sport Fighting
What's at stake
Dustin Poirier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Josh Grispi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1819
If they lose-17→ 1795
If they win+23→ 1682
If they lose-9→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1813 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dustin PoirierJosh Grispi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Poirier86%
Josh Grispi 14%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Poirier a 86% favorite over Josh Grispi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Dustin Poirier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1659, a 153-point edge.
Dustin Poirier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Grispi enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dustin Poirier finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Josh Grispi 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.