Dustin Poirier vs King Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-10-0Record36-17-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72″Reach71″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamPinnacle MMA
What's at stake
Dustin Poirier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — King Green carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1821
If they lose-15→ 1797
If they win+15→ 1738
If they lose-9→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1814 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin PoirierKing Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green52%
Dustin Poirier 48%Elo baseline: 37%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 52% favorite over Dustin Poirier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Poirier's way (37%).
Dustin Poirier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1723, a 89-point edge.
Dustin Poirier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Dustin Poirier finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, King Green 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.