Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Stoltzfus vs Jason Lambert

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jason Lambert
us

Jason Lambert

“The Punisher”

26-13-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record26-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Frankers Fight TeamTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin StoltzfusNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Jason LambertNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
45%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.84
48%
Strike defense
51%
2.08
Takedown avg.
1.35
10%
Takedown accuracy
36%
47%
Takedown defense
29%
1.11
Submission avg.
2.36

Trajectory

Dustin StoltzfusJason Lambert
1650201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
16 (62%)
6 (40%)
Submission
6 (23%)
6 (40%)
Decision
4 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Stoltzfus66%
Jason Lambert 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 66% favorite over Jason Lambert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Jason Lambert 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.