Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Keith Rockel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record12-4-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamTeam Elite

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duško TodorovićNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Keith RockelNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
58%
Strike accuracy
73%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.21
48%
Strike defense
67%
1.77
Takedown avg.
4.63
21%
Takedown accuracy
75%
43%
Takedown defense
100%
0.35
Submission avg.
4.63

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićKeith Rockel
160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
4 (31%)
Submission
6 (50%)
1 (8%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović51%
Keith Rockel 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 51% favorite over Keith Rockel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Keith Rockel's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.

Keith Rockel enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Keith Rockel 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.