Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Raul Castillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record7-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"ReachUnknown
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamRaul Castillo Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duško TodorovićNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Raul CastilloNow 1601
If they win+24→ 1625
If they lose-24→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
58%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
1.77
Takedown avg.
TBD
21%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.35
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićRaul Castillo
160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (29%)
1 (8%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Duško Todorović and Raul Castillo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Raul Castillo 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.