Combat Edge Intelligence

Dwight Grant vs Sergey Khandozhko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dwight Grant
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Dwight Grant

“The Body Snatcher”

11-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1643Solid

Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record27-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Alliance MMATeamIndustrials

What's at stake

Sergey Khandozhko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dwight Grant carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dwight GrantNow 1643
If they win+18→ 1661
If they lose-14→ 1629
Sergey KhandozhkoNow 1693
If they win+10→ 1703
If they lose-14→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
36%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.37
61%
Strike defense
61%
0.61
Takedown avg.
0.76
100%
Takedown accuracy
29%
67%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dwight GrantSergey Khandozhko
16501700202020212022

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
11 (42%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (27%)
4 (36%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergey Khandozhko78%
Dwight Grant 22%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Khandozhko a 78% favorite over Dwight Grant in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Sergey Khandozhko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1643, a 50-point edge.

Dwight Grant enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dwight Grant finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Khandozhko 69%.

Dwight Grant carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.