Dwight Grant vs Zak Ottow
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record20-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
76"Reach40,5"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
Zak Ottow is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dwight Grant carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1660
If they lose-15→ 1628
If they win+11→ 1671
If they lose-13→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dwight GrantZak Ottow
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dwight Grant52%
Zak Ottow 48%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Dwight Grant a 52% favorite over Zak Ottow in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zak Ottow's way (48%).
Zak Ottow holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1643, a 17-point edge.
Dwight Grant enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dwight Grant finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Zak Ottow 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.