Combat Edge Intelligence

Dwight Joseph vs Rani Yahya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-3-0Record28-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamConstrictor Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dwight JosephNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Rani YahyaNow 1690
If they win+12→ 1702
If they lose-12→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.73
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
TBD
Takedown defense
29%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.82

Trajectory

Dwight JosephRani Yahya
170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (19%)
Submission
21 (75%)
8 (50%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Dwight Joseph72%
Rani Yahya 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dwight Joseph a 72% favorite over Rani Yahya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1690), separated by just 0 points.

Rani Yahya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dwight Joseph finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rani Yahya 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.