Combat Edge Intelligence

Dwight Joseph vs Su Young You

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-3-0Record16-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
66"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamBon Jiu Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dwight JosephNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Su Young YouNow 1691
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.96
TBD
Strike defense
70%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.80
TBD
Takedown accuracy
48%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Dwight JosephSu Young You
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
3 (19%)
Submission
5 (31%)
8 (50%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Su Young You53%
Dwight Joseph 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Su Young You a 53% favorite over Dwight Joseph in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1691), separated by just 1 points.

Dwight Joseph finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Su Young You 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.