Dylan Andrews vs Sam Alvey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-11-0Record34-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Heartbreak ConditioningTeamTeam Quest
What's at stake
Sam Alvey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dylan Andrews carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1545
If they lose-8→ 1521
If they win+8→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dylan AndrewsSam Alvey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Alvey70%
Dylan Andrews 30%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Alvey a 70% favorite over Dylan Andrews in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Sam Alvey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1529, a 111-point edge.
Dylan Andrews enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Dylan Andrews finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Sam Alvey 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.