Combat Edge Intelligence

Dylan Budka vs Guilherme Vasconcelos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dylan Budka
us

Dylan Budka

“The Mindless Hulk”

7-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1571Solid

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75″ReachTBD
189 lbsWeight170 lbs
Demolition Fight TeamTeamBH Rhinos

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dylan BudkaNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
Guilherme VasconcelosNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.07
Sig. strikes / min
3.27
44%
Strike accuracy
30%
1.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
41%
Strike defense
71%
2.02
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
0%
77%
Takedown defense
0%
0.40
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dylan BudkaGuilherme Vasconcelos
15001550160020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (29%)
Submission
5 (50%)
4 (57%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dylan Budka54%
Guilherme Vasconcelos 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dylan Budka a 54% favorite over Guilherme Vasconcelos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Guilherme Vasconcelos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1572), separated by just 1 points.

Dylan Budka enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Guilherme Vasconcelos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dylan Budka finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Guilherme Vasconcelos 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.