Combat Edge Intelligence

Dylan Budka vs Neemias Santana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dylan Budka
us

Dylan Budka

“The Mindless Hulk”

7-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1570Solid

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record7-3-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
75″Reach76"
189 lbsWeight185 lbs
Demolition Fight TeamTeamTeam Lucas Mineiro· 1650 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dylan BudkaNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Neemias SantanaNow 1572
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-24→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1472 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.07
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
44%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
41%
Strike defense
Not available
2.02
Takedown avg.
Not available
38%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
77%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.40
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dylan BudkaNeemias Santana
150015501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (14%)
4 (57%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dylan Budka66%
Neemias Santana 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dylan Budka a 66% favorite over Neemias Santana in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Neemias Santana's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1572), separated by just 2 points.

Dylan Budka enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dylan Budka finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Neemias Santana 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.