Dylan Diebitz vs Gary Padilla
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74.5"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Pura Vida BJJ & MMATeamAlliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dylan DiebitzGary Padilla
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dylan Diebitz70%
Gary Padilla 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dylan Diebitz a 70% favorite over Gary Padilla in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1549), separated by just 2 points.
Gary Padilla enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dylan Diebitz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Gary Padilla 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.