Dylan Diebitz vs Justin Sumter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record9-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74.5"Reach80,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Pura Vida BJJ & MMATeamFighting Arts Academy CT
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dylan DiebitzJustin Sumter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Sumter52%
Dylan Diebitz 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Sumter a 52% favorite over Dylan Diebitz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dylan Diebitz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1552), separated by just 1 points.
Dylan Diebitz finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Sumter 78%.
Justin Sumter carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.