Combat Edge Intelligence

Dylan Smerillo vs Felipe Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

5-4-0Record6-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
3sotericTeamKame House Training Center

What's at stake

Dylan Smerillo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Felipe Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dylan SmerilloNow 1536
If they win+21→ 1557
If they lose-27→ 1509
Felipe MartinezNow 1494
If they win+18→ 1512
If they lose-14→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Dylan SmerilloFelipe Martinez
14501500155020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
4 (80%)
Submission
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Dylan Smerillo57%
Felipe Martinez 43%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Dylan Smerillo a 57% favorite over Felipe Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Dylan Smerillo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1536 to 1494, a 42-point edge.

Felipe Martinez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dylan Smerillo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Martinez 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.