Dylan Smerillo vs Hattan Alsaif
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record1-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionAtomweight
5'9"Height5'1"
-Reach60"
145 lbsWeight105 lbs
What's at stake
Hattan Alsaif is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Dylan Smerillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1561
If they lose-23→ 1513
If they win+23→ 1576
If they lose-25→ 1528
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dylan SmerilloHattan Alsaif
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dylan Smerillo57%
Hattan Alsaif 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Dylan Smerillo a 57% favorite over Hattan Alsaif in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hattan Alsaif's way (48%).
Hattan Alsaif holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1553 to 1536, a 17-point edge.
Hattan Alsaif enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dylan Smerillo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.