Dylan Smerillo vs Mahamade Demba Samba
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record1-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
-Reach78"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
3sotericTeamBoxing Squad· 1629 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1559
If they lose-25→ 1511
If they win+25→ 1551
If they lose-23→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1471 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dylan SmerilloMahamade Demba Samba
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dylan Smerillo57%
Mahamade Demba Samba 43%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Dylan Smerillo a 57% favorite over Mahamade Demba Samba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1526), separated by just 10 points.
Dylan Smerillo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.