Dylan Smerillo vs Victor Nunes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1561
If they lose-23→ 1513
If they win+15→ 1562
If they lose-17→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dylan SmerilloVictor Nunes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Victor Nunes53%
Dylan Smerillo 47%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Victor Nunes a 53% favorite over Dylan Smerillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1547), separated by just 11 points.
Dylan Smerillo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Victor Nunes 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.