Combat Edge Intelligence

Dzhamal Mavliudov vs Genaro Valdéz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record10-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dzhamal MavliudovNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
Genaro ValdézNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.08
TBD
Strike accuracy
30%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.16
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.54
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
36%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Dzhamal MavliudovGenaro Valdéz
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
3 (50%)
Submission
3 (30%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dzhamal Mavliudov72%
Genaro Valdéz 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dzhamal Mavliudov a 72% favorite over Genaro Valdéz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Genaro Valdéz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1579), separated by just 2 points.

Dzhamal Mavliudov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Genaro Valdéz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dzhamal Mavliudov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Genaro Valdéz 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.