Dzhamal Mavliudov vs Jacob Rosales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record15-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
72"Reach74,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCSW
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dzhamal MavliudovJacob Rosales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dzhamal Mavliudov56%
Jacob Rosales 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dzhamal Mavliudov a 56% favorite over Jacob Rosales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1576), separated by just 1 points.
Dzhamal Mavliudov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dzhamal Mavliudov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jacob Rosales 60%.
Jacob Rosales carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.