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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dzhamal Mavliudov vs Joe Duffy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joe Duffy
ie

Joe Duffy

“Irish Joe”

16-5-0LightweightUFC

1577Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
72"Reach73.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1662 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamThe MMA Clinic

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dzhamal MavliudovNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
Joe DuffyNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
Not available
Strike accuracy
34%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.78
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.96
Not available
Takedown accuracy
67%
Not available
Takedown defense
64%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Dzhamal MavliudovJoe Duffy
155016001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
3 (50%)
Submission
10 (63%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Duffy57%
Dzhamal Mavliudov 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Duffy a 57% favorite over Dzhamal Mavliudov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dzhamal Mavliudov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1577), separated by just 0 points.

Dzhamal Mavliudov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dzhamal Mavliudov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joe Duffy 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.