Combat Edge Intelligence

Dzhamal Mavliudov vs Justin Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record10-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Jorge Gurgel

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dzhamal MavliudovNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
Justin EdwardsNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.14
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
27%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Dzhamal MavliudovJustin Edwards
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
3 (50%)
Submission
8 (80%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Dzhamal Mavliudov60%
Justin Edwards 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dzhamal Mavliudov a 60% favorite over Justin Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1577), separated by just 0 points.

Dzhamal Mavliudov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dzhamal Mavliudov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Edwards 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.