Combat Edge Intelligence

Dzhamal Mavliudov vs Roger Bowling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Vision

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dzhamal MavliudovNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
Roger BowlingNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.90
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
27%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.88

Trajectory

Dzhamal MavliudovRoger Bowling
1550160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
3 (50%)
Submission
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Dzhamal Mavliudov60%
Roger Bowling 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dzhamal Mavliudov a 60% favorite over Roger Bowling in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roger Bowling's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1578), separated by just 1 points.

Dzhamal Mavliudov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dzhamal Mavliudov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roger Bowling 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.