Combat Edge Intelligence

Dzhamal Mavliudov vs Roger Huerta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roger Huerta
us

Roger Huerta

“El Matador”

24-13-1LightweightBFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record24-13-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAllstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dzhamal MavliudovNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
Roger HuertaNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.64
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.33
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.13
TBD
Takedown accuracy
46%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Dzhamal MavliudovRoger Huerta
15501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
3 (50%)
Submission
5 (23%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Dzhamal Mavliudov73%
Roger Huerta 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dzhamal Mavliudov a 73% favorite over Roger Huerta in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roger Huerta's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1579), separated by just 2 points.

Dzhamal Mavliudov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roger Huerta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dzhamal Mavliudov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roger Huerta 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.