Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Eugenio Tadeu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record2-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

Ebrahem Mahmoud is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Eugenio Tadeu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
Eugenio TadeuNow 1453
If they win+25→ 1478
If they lose-23→ 1430

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud66%
Eugenio Tadeu 34%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 66% favorite over Eugenio Tadeu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Ebrahem Mahmoud holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1453, a 18-point edge.

Eugenio Tadeu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.