Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Ilya Kotau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record0-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75''Reach69"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ebrahem MahmoudIlya Kotau
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud63%
Ilya Kotau 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 63% favorite over Ilya Kotau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ilya Kotau's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1478), separated by just 7 points.
Ilya Kotau enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ebrahem Mahmoud carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.