Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Jeff Joslin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamJoslin Fight Team
What's at stake
Ebrahem Mahmoud is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Jeff Joslin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1493
If they lose-26→ 1445
If they win+26→ 1474
If they lose-22→ 1426
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ebrahem MahmoudJeff Joslin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud72%
Jeff Joslin 28%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 72% favorite over Jeff Joslin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ebrahem Mahmoud holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1448, a 23-point edge.
Jeff Joslin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeff Joslin 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.