Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Joe Martin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record6-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

Ebrahem Mahmoud is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Joe Martin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444
Joe MartinNow 1421
If they win+18→ 1439
If they lose-14→ 1407

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ebrahem MahmoudJoe Martin
140014502005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (83%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud70%
Joe Martin 30%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 70% favorite over Joe Martin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Ebrahem Mahmoud holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1421, a 50-point edge.

Joe Martin 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.