Ebrahem Mahmoud vs John Lewis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record3-4-3
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamLewis
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
If they win+25→ 1488
If they lose-23→ 1440
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud72%
John Lewis 28%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 72% favorite over John Lewis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1463), separated by just 8 points.
John Lewis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Lewis 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.