Ebrahem Mahmoud vs John Salgado
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record4-8-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamTeam Inner G
What's at stake
Ebrahem Mahmoud is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — John Salgado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1490
If they lose-29→ 1442
If they win+19→ 1422
If they lose-13→ 1390
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud72%
John Salgado 28%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 72% favorite over John Salgado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Ebrahem Mahmoud holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1403, a 68-point edge.
John Salgado enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
John Salgado 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.