Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Landon Showalter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record11-19-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamCharlie's Combat Club

What's at stake

Ebrahem Mahmoud is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Landon Showalter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+20→ 1491
If they lose-28→ 1443
Landon ShowalterNow 1414
If they win+19→ 1433
If they lose-13→ 1401

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ebrahem MahmoudLandon Showalter
1400145020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud78%
Landon Showalter 22%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 78% favorite over Landon Showalter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Ebrahem Mahmoud holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1414, a 57-point edge.

Landon Showalter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Landon Showalter 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.