Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Mike Dolce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record5-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamIndependent

What's at stake

Ebrahem Mahmoud is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Mike Dolce carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+19→ 1490
If they lose-29→ 1442
Mike DolceNow 1398
If they win+19→ 1417
If they lose-13→ 1385

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ebrahem MahmoudMike Dolce
1400145015002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud78%
Mike Dolce 22%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 78% favorite over Mike Dolce in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Ebrahem Mahmoud holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1398, a 73-point edge.

Mike Dolce enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mike Dolce 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.