Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Sammy Morgan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record18-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight165 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamTeam Bison
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
If they win+24→ 1496
If they lose-24→ 1448
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ebrahem MahmoudSammy Morgan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud70%
Sammy Morgan 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 70% favorite over Sammy Morgan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sammy Morgan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1472), separated by just 1 points.
Sammy Morgan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sammy Morgan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.