Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Tim Roman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record3-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75''ReachUnknown
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
If they win+24→ 1496
If they lose-24→ 1448
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ebrahem MahmoudTim Roman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud68%
Tim Roman 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 68% favorite over Tim Roman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Roman's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1472), separated by just 1 points.
Tim Roman 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.